“Imagine President Emmerson Mnangagwa and opposition leader
Nelson Chamisa embarking on an international campaign against sanctions. That
move alone would be a sign of political maturity and patriotism and would
contribute to national common purpose and unity. But to do so the two would
need to agree on what sanctions mean to Zimbabwe. This kind of consensus will
not happen any time soon because they have both weaponised the sanctions for
political gain,” wrote Trevor Ncube in recent Bulawayo 24 article.
“Many in the opposition, including Chamisa himself, argue insincerely that all
sanctions are targeted and have no effect on the man on the street. Their view
is that sanctions are a fitting punishment for those in the ruling party who
have played a big role in Zimbabwe's worsening misfortunes.
They purposefully ignore what scholars have long unveiled, namely that
sanctions are a form of warfare - Fourth Generation warfare. (See Nicholas
Mulder: "The Economic Weapon: The Rise of Sanctions as a Tool of Modern
War). According to Mulder, sanctions are intended to cut "off a country
from all access to the international economy and wait for it to exhaust itself
or succumb to political revolution or social collapse."
He further postulates: "Economic sanctions have long been considered a
nonviolent deterrent, but ironically they have become a tool of modern
warfare."
It is clear that Mr Ncube not only agrees with Signor Mulder
that sanctions are a weapon of war but more significantly that the sanctions
imposed by the West on Zimbabwe are a weapon of war!
“Chamisa is overly aware of this lethal effect of sanctions
on Zimbabwe but because he sees them as a weapon to fight his way to State
power, fat chance that he can team up with Mnangagwa to fight for their removal,”
he writes.
It is important to remind the reader at this stage who
Trevor Ncube is. He signed off as “Alpha Media Holdings chairman”, the biggest independent
print and electronic publications in Zimbabwe and owner of Mail and Guardian is
SA.
The media is often considered the fourth pillar in a healthy
and functioning democracy (other three being Executive, Legislature and
Judiciary) tasked to inform and educate the people. Democracy, as government of
the people, for the people and by the people will not work unless the people
are informed. In a country like Zimbabwe the importance of the independent
media is even more important than ever given it has the added task of
countering Zanu PF propaganda from the dominant public media.
By describing the sanctions imposed on Zimbabwe as “weapon
of war” was giving traction to the Zanu PF propaganda lie that sanctions are
the root cause of Zimbabwe’s economic meltdown.
Zimbabwe’s economy was already in serious trouble long
before the sanctions were imposed in 2001. The country adopted the IMF and WB
sponsored 1990 to 1995 Economic Structural Adjustment Programme (ESAP) precisely
because the economy was in trouble. When that programme failed to revive the
economy, the country signed another one, the 1995 to 1999 ESAP. That too failed
to revive the economy.
It was at the end of the second ESAP that the IMF and WB
stopped giving Zimbabwe any financial assistance because the country was
failing to service its debts. Many other financial institutions followed IMF
and WB’s lead sending the country’s credit rating to junk status.
“Sanctions bar banks from doing business with the targeted
country,” argued Trevor Ncube.
Indeed, when the West imposed sanctions on Zimbabwe, Mugabe
was very dismissive claiming he would do business with the East. His “Look
East!” mantra did not last long because the Chinese too stopped giving Zimbabwe
financial assistance for the same reason, “Nǐ bù huánzhài!” (You don’t pay your
debt!) the Chinese obliged to told Mugabe to his face!
“High-level corruption is a tax on the already overburdened
taxpayer. Apart from taking from the poor and giving to the political elite and
politically connected, high-level corruption has created a subculture of
corruption everywhere. Corruption is a national cancer that is crippling
provision of basic services to the poor and marginalised and must be decisively
dealt with,” Ncube argued.
After going to town about economic hardships brought on by sanctions
it is a damp squib to then give the real root cause of Zimbabwe’s economic
meltdown and political paralysis a passing coverage.
One more key point Mr Trevor Ncube failed to point out is that
sanctions is one of the tools used to pressure the ruling party to concede the
need for meaningful democratic changes including the holding of free, fair and
credible elections. Whilst the economic and political UN sanctions imposed on white-ruled
Rhodesia caused far more economic hardships than the current West sanctions,
all the black nationalists called for their imposition. They argued the
economic hardship were worth the sacrifice to help end white colonial
oppression. We are now being asked to believe that sanctions will not help end
black oppression!
“Imagine President Emmerson Mnangagwa and opposition leader
Nelson Chamisa embarking on an international campaign against sanctions. That
move alone would be a sign of political maturity and patriotism and would
contribute to national common purpose and unity!”
The sheer naivety of that statement beggars belief! I would
expect that from one of the brainwashed Zimbabweans, not a leading intellectual
and trailblazer!
The West will never allow murderous demagogues like
Mnangagwa and/or incompetent sell outs like Chamisa dictator their foreign
policy. Zanu PF and MDC cooperated, at least in the sharing of the spoils of
power, during the 2008 to 2013 GNU and were of one accord in the call to lift
the sanctions. The West ignore the call because there was no evidence of Zanu
PF dismantling the dictatorship. None!
Interestingly, the economy registered a 12% growth in 2009
to 2010, although sanctions had remained throughout the GNU, largely because
the GNU scrapped the Z$ forcing the hyperinflation to fall from the dizzying
height of 500 billion percent. Proof the economic meltdown was not caused by
the sanctions. A few sound economic policies were enough to restore some sanity
in the economic and generate some economic growth.
The economic recovery registered in the first year of the
GNU fizzled out when it became clear MDC, much less Zanu PF, leaders were going
to implement any democratic reforms to dismantle the Zanu PF dictatorship.
Although the EU 2018 Zimbabwe election observer mission issued
a damning report on the elections. The EU Foreign Ministers decided to lift all
the sanctions imposed of Harare, that has not translated into any meaningful
economic recovery because Zimbabwe is still a pariah state plagued by
mismanagement, corruption and lawlessness.
Zimbabwe is heading for new elections next year, 2023, and
there is already overwhelming evidence to show Zanu PF is rigging the
elections. There not even one reform recommendation has been implemented, there
is no verified voters’ rolls, cases of Zanu PF orchestrated political violence
are on the rise, etc., etc.
The suggestion that the sanctions will be lifted and Zimbabwe
will enjoy peace and economic prosperity if only Mnangagwa and Chamisa kissed
and made up; regardless of the reality of the country remaining a pariah state
with rampant corruption, etc.; is laughable. Especially when the foolish
suggestion is coming from someone who should know better!
Still, the foolish suggestion explains why Zimbabwe is in
this seemingly intractable economic mess and political paralysis. If Zimbabwean
intellectuals are so flippant about the country’s economic and political
crisis, why should the rest of the world care when we clearly don’t care!