Mugabe's conudrum: he will lose free elections but will be shunned if he used violence again!

The Wikileaks reports have been God sent for Mugabe and his cronies. The dictatorship can now crow from the rooftop that it was right; the USA and the West have been seeking regime change in. This was all cheap Zanu PF propaganda founded on the falsehood that the people of Zimbabwe themselves did NOT want regime change. The March 2008 elections proved once and for all that this was nothing but a lie because Zimbabweans voted in droves for MDC.

It should be remember that the Zimbabwe electorate voted for Tsvangirai, a man of the same US Ambassador righted described as “a flawed and indecisive”. This underlined just how desperate Zimbabweans were to end Mugabe’s rule.

For five weeks after the voting Mugabe refused to release the results. He was “cooking” the results so the defeat would not be so humiliating but not even he could change the fact that the people had rejected him! For the June 2008 presidential run-off he literally declared war against the people; he subject the whole nation to three months of intimidation, terror, rape wanton destruction of property and hundreds were murdered; to force the electorate to vote for him.

Mugabe had created the myth that it was West’s targeted sanctions that had caused Zimbabwe’s economic melt down. The myth disappeared like a mist in the morning sun when the evidence of the wide spread looting started to emerge. The dictator and his cronies not own a staggering 40% of the former commercial farms but worse still most of the farms are now idle. Ignatius Chombo’s estate shows that farms constitute but a small part of his wealth; he owns mines, commercial businesses, houses and flats in most major towns in Zimbabwe and some in SA, etc. And like the farms, the mines, etc would all be under utilised or completely neglected. That is the thing about looters they claim everything for themselves only to waste away like the prodigal son or simple hoard it to stop anyone else making productive use of it.

Of course the siphoning of billions of dollars out of the economic to spend on luxuries and disruption of production from the farms, mines, etc was bound to have an adverse effect on the country’s economy hence the economic melt down. The evidence of the looting and its contribution to the economic collapse is overwhelming even Mugabe’s most ardent propagandists have stopped paddling the sanctions myth.

Similarly the June 2008 election has put to rest the nonsense that it is the West and not the people of Zimbabwe who want regime change.

Mugabe can crow all day about the smoking gun evidence of West’s regime change Zimbabwe agenda. He knows no one in the West has a vote and the people who have the vote have rejected him and will do so again in a free vote. Mugabe’s real headache now; even with a totally discredited MDC, Mugabe knows the Zimbabwe electorate are more determined now than ever to end his repressive and corrupt rule. So he will have to resort the same level wholesale violence as in June 2008 or worse. If he has another sham election the international community will shun him and, this time, even the idiotic Tsvangirai would not dare help him off the hook again this time! And there lies Mugabe’s conundrum!