There is one thing
to be said about Zimbabwe's economic meltdown; which has resulted in
unemployment soaring to 90%, forced 76% of the population into a life of abject
poverty, left government without cash to pay civil servants, etc.; it is socially
and politically unsustainable. Being unsustainable means things cannot continue
as they are and yet as long as Zanu PF remains in office things have got even
worse and thus increasing the pressure for meaningful change to revive the
economy.
Zimbabwe is a de
facto one-party cum one-man dictatorship which has been ruthlessly imposed and
retained. Sadly the dictatorship has turned out to be incompetent, corrupt and
lawless; the three cancers that are killing the economy. There will be no
meaningful economic recovery in Zimbabwe until we cure ourselves of these three
economic cancers and the only viable way to do that is by ending the political
system – the dictatorship - that has spawned these problems and allowed them
grow and spread for all these last 36 years.
So the cure to
Zimbabwe’s socially and politically unsustainable economic meltdown is
meaningful political change designed to dismantle the failed de facto
dictatorship as exemplified by the holding of free, fair and credible
elections.
Change is nature.
Mugabe and his cronies may be tempted to think they cheated nature by resisting
change these last 36 years. They are fooling themselves!
Change comes in
small incremental, peaceful and orderly evolutionary changes. In being small
people can adjust and adopt. By stifling public debate, abolishing multi-party
democracy, banishing peaceful demonstrations, rigging elections, etc.; Mugabe blocked
all the natural avenues for small evolutionary change. He has successful retain
power for the last 36 years but at the cost of destroying Zimbabwe politically
and economically.
It was the lack of
meaningful democratic accountability that has allowed Mugabe and Zanu PF to
remain in power for the last 36 years but it was the lack of democratic
accountability too that has allowed the regime to be so breathtakingly corrupt,
incompetent, arrogance and tyrannical. It is Zanu PF’s unchecked criminal waste
of the nation’s human and material resources that is behind the unsustainable
economic meltdown we are facing today.
By rigging
elections Mugabe was resisting peaceful evolutionary regime change and per se
opted for violent revolutionary change. The last few months Zimbabwe has been
shaken to the core by violent street protests and, until there are meaningful
political changes leading to meaningful economic recovery, there will be more
street protests.
We have seen the
Police try to silence people demanding change by tear-gassing and brutally
bashing them. The people have responded by shouting even louder for change, by
burning and looting. Until there is meaningful change there will be more
tear-gas, burning and looting.
Many people have
warned of the need for free and fair elections and other peaceful changes in
Zimbabwe just to avoid the dangers of social unrest or worse violent
revolutionary change would bring. The violent revolutionary change we feared is
now upon us. Pray it does not going to last long. Pray it is not going to cause
a lot of destruction of property and human injury and lives.
The tragedy here
is that social upheaval and economic misery we are facing in Zimbabwe today are
man-made and therefore could have been avoided. We would not be in this
hell-hole if Mugabe had not imposed this corrupt and tyrannical dictatorship on
the nation. We would have dismantled the dictatorship during the GNU if
Tsvangirai and his MDC friends had not sold-out and failed to get even one
reform implemented in five years!
How quickly the
nation emerges from this violent revolution and in what form will depend on
whether the ordinary people themselves have learnt anything from the past. In
the end, people always get the government they deserve; like it or not we
deserve this Zanu PF dictatorship complete with its coterie of corrupt and
incompetent opposition parties.
History has the
habit to repeat itself, especially amongst those who fail to learn from the
past. Mugabe and Zanu PF are a product of the war of independence; as war veterans
they felt they knew best, they are “stockholders of Zanu PF and Zimbabwe”
whilst everyone else was merely “stakeholder who can come and go”. The hawkish
zeal and the gratuitous looting by some of the street protesters is a worrying
sign a new generation of know-it-all war veterans.
Indeed MDC-T’s, “the
government in waiting” the party claims, VP Nelson Chamisa has been wooing the
rogue war veterans who have impose Mugabe on the nation all these years; a clear
sign that MDC-T, at least, has learnt nothing from the past.
If all Zimbabwe
achieve at the end of the current violent revolution is remove one tyrant but
only to replace him with another because we failed to dismantle the dictatorship
then this revolution would be a failure just like the revolution leading to the
1980 independence was a failure!
1 comment:
As long as Zimbabwe's economic woes remain there will be more protests because the present situation is not socially or politically sustainable. Killing Itai Dzamara did not stop the protest and so likewise the departure of Mawarire will not end the demand for change.
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