Friday, 25 November 2022

Ncube's 2023 budget will take 150 years to deliver upper middle income, forget Vision 2030. The maths do not lie. W Mukori

 The Zimbabwe economy has been in decline for the last 42 years, it shrunk staggering 50% in the period 2000 to 2008 alone fuelled by the hyperinflation, that soared to dizzying heights of 500 billion percent, and the collapse of the agricultural sector following the seizure of white own farms to give to Zanu loyalties main. The economy has never recovered.

The root cause of Zimbabwe’s economic meltdown is the gross mismanagement, rampant corruption and the lawlessness, exasperated by the failure to hold free and fair elections which has kept Zanu PF in power all these last 42 years. And for that, Zimbabwe has rightfully earned the pariah state tag.

Zimbabwe’s Minister of Finance has just stagnant economy. Nothing! presented the nation’s Z$4.2 trillion (about US$6.5 billion) 2023 budget most of which is goggled up in wages with very little left to maintain the present infrastructure much less new capital projects. There is nothing in the budget to kick to kick start the

Still, that did not stop Minister Ncube boasting the budget will, “Accelerate Economic Transformation” a term coined by Rodrik as a critical ingredient in generating economic growth that promotes social development and was sustainable, the budget plays a balancing act on pressing national needs and available resources; he explained to the honourable MPs. Never seen so many blank faces!

President Mnangagwa and his Minister Mthuli Ncube insist Zimbabwe is on target to become an upper middle-income nation by 2030, the so-called Vision 2030. Where this is coming from is a complete mystery, the maths simply do not up!  

Zimbabwe’s present GPD per capita income of US$ 1 737 p a

Minister Mthuli Ncube and President Zimbabwe is on target to be upper middle-income nation by 2030, Vision 2030, with an income of US$ 106 – 373 000 p a

Minister Ncube says Zimbabwe economy will grow by 3%

Mathematical calculation:

106 000 = 1 737(1.03) n

Where n = 150 years which the time it will take to grow an income of US$ 1 737 to US$ 106 000. Vision 2030 says this will be achieved in 8 years not 150 years

As long as Zimbabwe remains a pariah state, the economy will never recover. Never! No national economy can survive much less thrive given such a heavy burden and criminal waste of human and material resources. It is near impossible to do business in such caustic and chaotic environment.  

It is laughable that Minister of Finance makes a big song and dance producing a meaningless budget! He is no more than a doctor content with treating the patient of minor ailments like flu whilst ignoring cancer, the real killer!

49% of our people are now living in abject poverty, basic services such as health care and education have all but collapsed, 60% of our women folk are resorting to prostitution just to survive and 60% of them are HIV positive, etc. Like it or not Zimbabwe is dying!

We all know the cancer killing Zimbabwe is the corrupt and tyrannical Zanu PF dictatorship. We also know the cure for this political cancer is to implement the democratic reforms and hold free and fair elections.

The nation had its best chance ever to implement the reforms during the 2008 to 2013 GNU. Sadly, Morgan Tsvangirai and his MDC friends who were given the task to implement the reforms took their eyes off the ball and failed to get even one reform implemented in five years.

What Zimbabwe needs is another chance to implement the democratic reforms and all it will take is to deny the vote rigging Zanu PF legitimacy. Zanu PF is rigging these 2023 elections, the regime has failed to produce something as basic as a verified voters’ roll for Pete’s. How anyone can judge an election in which there was no verified voters’ roll free, fair and credible; beggars belief.

How anyone would be so foolish as to participate in an election process so flawed and illegal there is not even a verified voters’ roll beggars belief. MDC/CCC and their opposition friends have been participating these flawed elections for the same reasons they failed to implement even one reform during the GNU – greed and breath-taking incompetence.

SADC leaders have endorsed Zanu PF rigged elections as “substantially free and fair” and thus granting the regime legitimacy, out of spite to punish MDC for failing to implement even one reform during the 2008 to 2013 GNU. It is absurd to punish a whole nation for the iniquities of the few and after a decade of punishment, enough is enough.

If SADC leaders rightly condemn the 2023 rigged elections and deny Zanu PF legitimacy; Zimbabwe will need another GNU. This time we will implement all the democratic reforms, after all it is not rocket science. This time Zimbabwe will take the cure to end the Zanu PF dictatorship.

After four decades of blundering from pillar to post, Zimbabwe is dying to do something right. Well, here is the one thing we can do implement the democratic reforms. All we are asking for is for SADC to stop the madness of granting vote rigging Zanu PF legitimacy. That surely is not too much to ask! 

6 comments:

Zimbabwe Light said...

@ Mukanya
“Our problem now is that we have had you in government for more than 40 years. You have no new ideas except to send opposition people to jail. You cannot stick to power for the sake of it. Ruining a country should not be a hobby. You are destroying lives and livelihoods.

We now need innovative leaders who can move the country forward. I also urge the youth to desist from using hard drugs. The best way to live stable lives is to be sober and vote wisely to get the economy back on track and create jobs. Zanu-PF regalia and propaganda jingles will never bring about jobs.

The youth will remain hungry and jobless unless they register to vote and change the system. Zimbabwe needs new leaders that are real and that must focus on the issues hitting the people hardest. We are going nowhere with the current leadership.”
If I was your teacher, I would give you 30% for effort! A failure because as your should know by now, the road to hell is paved with good intentions. You meant well but that is not what we get us out of this mess.
There are two key points you have missed:
1) Mnangagwa and his cronies must go because they have failed period. 42 years ago they were young and as we can see, they were just as corrupt and tyrannical as they are today so age has nothing to do with it. Nelson Chamisa and his friends are younger than most of the Zanu PF leaders, true, but we must never forget we are in this mess because the failed to implement even one reform in 22 years, 5 of which in the GNU. Their youth was not an advantage.
2) We need to implement reforms if we are serious about ending this dictatorship. Telling people registering to vote will stop Zanu PF rigging is one of those idiotic “winning in rigged elections strategies!” We don’t want to encourage people to participate in an election process so flawed that 73% is not good enough to win only to give Zanu PF legitimacy.
Good intention is not good enough especially when all we are repeating the same mistake expecting a different result. The insanity of rigged elections after 42 years of rigged elections must be stopped here and now!

Zimbabwe Light said...

Former G40 Kingpin Saviour Kasukuwere has broken the silence on his ambition to lead Zimbabwe as a Presidential candidate and his views on the state of affairs at the ruling party ZANU PF.

In an audio that has gone viral on the internet, Kasukuwere said ZANU PF has a tragic failure of leadership and comrades were being subjected to witch-hunting for associating with the former G40.

Turning to his high anticipated re-admission back to ZANU PF, he said the current leadership of ZANU PF and the former G40 members must sit down and reach out to each other to find a lasting solution.
This is the trouble with thugs like Kasukuwere, there was nothing with the Mugabe dictatorship, it had the people’s will although the party rigged elections. Now that the Lacoste faction has failed G40 would like to takeover. All Kasukuwere cares about is power he will never implement any democratic reforms. None!

Zimbabwe Light said...

@ Mbofana

There is a popular Chinese adage - 'it's better to light a candle than to curse the darkness'.

Indeed, as the people of Zimbabwe, we have endure unbelievable untold suffering, oppression and poverty at the hands of those in power.

We are finding it most difficult to afford even the most basic of necessities in our homes - with parents, particularly fathers and husbands, feeling more and more emasculated and useless by the day, as they fail to adequately fend for their families, pushing many into depths of stress and depression - due to the immense burden placed on their shoulders as the providers.

Our elderly are left uncared for - with their adult children, who are traditionally expected to take care of their parents, themselves facing dire financial challenges - thereby, forced to embarrassingly survive on handouts from well-wishers, or those fortunate enough to receive pensions or social security taking home a paltry US$15 a month (only enough for a loaf of bread a day).

Hospitals have become death traps - whereby, the sick cannot expect to receive even the most basic of medical assistance - lacking simple pain killers, the few cancer radiotherapy machines in the country remaining unrepaired and dysfunctional, surgical theatres poorly equipped, and maternity wards akin to torture chambers for patients.
As a rule of thumb, nations get the government they deserve, we in Zimbabwe certainly deserve this Zanu PF dictatorship complete with its coterie of corrupt and utterly useless opposition parties.
The people have risked life and limb to elect the MDC/CCC on the understanding the party would implement reforms to stop the curse of rigged elections. MDC has not only failed to implement even one reform in 22 years but worse still they are now keeping Zanu PF in power by participating in flawed elections for the sake of a few gravy train seats offered as bribe!
The tragedy is most Zimbabweans had no clue what the democratic reforms were and hence the reason they have not noticed, even now with the benefit of hindsight, that MDC leaders sold out. And so, the nation continues to follow the sell-outs blindly like sheep to the slaughter!

Zimbabwe Light said...

SOUTH African President, Cyril Ramphosa, has pleaded with the British monarch and government to facilitate a smooth re-admission of Zimbabwe into the Commonwealth and lift the sanctions imposed on the Southern African country.

Ramaphosa took advantage of his just ended visit to Britain, where he met King Charles III and the newly elected Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, to call for Zimbabwe to be accepted back into the group which largely comprises former British colonies.

"The Zimbabwe issue inevitably always comes out in meetings like these because we are talking here with the country that is like the head of the Commonwealth and we advocate for Zimbabwe to be readmitted to the Commonwealth; it is important," said Ramphosa.

Zimbabwe pulled out of the Commonwealth under then leader, the late Robert Mugabe in 2003, at the height of the country's chaotic land reform programme.

Now under the leadership of President Emmerson Mnangagwa, Harare has made its intentions clear about returning to the club under the Zanu-PF leader's so-called re-engagement policy
I know I have to choose my words very carefully since I am talking about a head of state but the sheer stupidity shown here and the tragic human suffering it brings demands calling a spade a spade.
Zimbabwe’s economy is in total meltdown because of decades of gross mismanagement and rampant corruption and the only hope of end this nightmare for Zimbabwe to implement the democratic reforms and to Zanu PF rigging elections. The sanctions were imposed on the Zanu PF regime for human rights violations including failure to hold free elections. Zimbabwe has booted out of the Commonwealth for the same offences.
SADC leaders refused to endorse Zanu PF’s election victory in 2008 because of the blatant cheating and wanton violence. They forced Mugabe to sign the 2008 Global Political Agreement agreeing to the need to implementing a raft of democratic reforms to ensure free and fair elections. Sadly, not even one meaningful reform was implemented in five years of the GNU.
Of all countries SA knows that not even one reform was implemented during the GNU and that Zanu PF is rigging these elections. It beggars belief therefore that President Ramaphosa, of all people, would be calling for the lifting of the sanctions and readmission of Zimbabwe into the Commonwealth. That is really dumb!

Zimbabwe Light said...

"Support will be extended to teacher training, with relevant skills for deployment in marginalised areas, and this will be complemented by incentives to attract and retain such skills.

"The Budget has, therefore, made a provision for the recruitment of an additional 7 000 teachers," said Finance Minister Mthuli Ncube.
The truth is key services like education and health care have been neglected for decades now resulting in their collapse. MP for Chiredzi South revealed that the best performing schools in the constituency for grade 7, Form 2,4 and 6 had a pass rate of 3%. Zanu PF has thrown the teachers and nurses overboard to contain inflation and they have left the country in droves!
Minister Ncube had done to increase the teachers’ slave wages. The only reason there will be no problem getting the 7 000 trainee teachers is because with unemployment rate of 80% plus, there is nowhere for them to go. They will go through the training but always with an eye to the exit door – who would blame them!
What hope of any meaningful development does this nation have when 97% of the population are so poorly educated they do not have any education certificate worth a spit!

Zimbabwe Light said...

ZIMBABWE sent a delegation of 264 people at a minimum cost of nearly US$1,6 million to the just-ended Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP27) held in Sharm El-Sheikh, Egypt.

The annual UN Climate Change Conference, which ran from November 6 to 18, advances the global climate talks, mobilises action, and provides a significant opportunity to look at the impacts of climate change as well as innovations and solutions in the world.

Sources in government told NewsDay that the least paid officer who travelled to Sharm El-Sheikh pocketed US$6 000, which puts the bill at a minimum of US$1,584 million.

Hotels in Sharm El-Sheikh, which hosted the conference, charge US$120 for two-star hotels, US$350 for four-star hotels and US$500 for five-star hotels.

A list of participants seen by NewsDay showed that 10 ministers accompanied President Emmerson Mnangagwa to the conference.
Zimbabwe received the least amount of covid 19 financial and material aid compared to other nation in the region because the country has a well known reputation for being wasteful extravagance.
Mnangagwa went to Egypt to say three things:
1) Zimbabwe has master plans to deal with climate change (none of the plans are worth a spit)
2) Zimbabwe is not able to implement its climate change plans and other development plans because of the sanctions imposed on the country (the usual feeble excuse)
3) He was there to nag the developed nation to contribute generously to the Climate Fun, he has his beady eyes on that!
The big question is; did Mnangagwa need 264 strong entourage at the cost of US$1.6 million to say that! What a criminal waste of money and opportunity!