Mugabe will have his way on 10 June SADC meeting but it is Zuma will have the last laugh!

It is clear that Mugabe will concede moving elections date from this year to early next year but that is about all he will give. President Zuma can forget about pushing any democratic reforms to ensure the elections are free and fair; that is NOT going to happen. Losing elections is a hard thing under the best of times but when you are a tyrant facing the life of pauper if the loot is taken away from you and all your cronies – which is a must if the country’s economic recovery is be assured – and, worse still, you will be have to account for the serious human rights violation including the murder of hundreds of thousands then losing an election is simply UNTHINKABLE!

Mugabe can not win free and fair elections and so he has to resort to using intimidation, rape and murder as happened in 2008. He has his terror machine oiled money from the sell of Marange diamonds and the party militia, Police, Soldiers and CIO who will do the dirty work have been deployed countrywide already.

Mugabe is well aware that using violence could land him in the sticky situation in which the international community judge his election victory “illegitimate” as happened after the 27 June 2008 presidential runoff. Tsvangirai got him off the hook by signing the GPA but even Tsvangirai will not be that stupid to do it again. But hai, what else can he do?

The only thing to stop Mugabe using violence is if SADC deployed the Police and Soldiers to enforce peace. SADC Police arresting ZRP and disarming ZNA, is something that even President Zuma would want to do.

President Zuma would have no choice but to let Mugabe have his violent elections. He will hit back by joining the international community in condemning the sham election and pronounce Mugabe’s victory, illegitimate. President Zuma can launch his pre-emptive strike by finally releasing the SA report on Zimbabwe’s 2002 now. The report will confirm the elections were not free and fair and thus underline the historic fact that Mugabe has repeatedly failed to hold free and fair elections.

Yes the 10 June President Zuma and Mugabe meeting is going to be a show down in which the Zimbabwe tyrant is bound to have his way but it is President Zuma who will have the last laugh.