“Mnangagwa ndiChomugore!”
(Mnangagwa is Chomugore!) was my instinctive response to President Mnangagwa’s
State Of Nation Address (SONA) yesterday.
Chomugore was a mean old man
who would ask you to do him a favour, typically help him look after his cattle
for a day or fetch water; he would promise to give you mangoes. Instead of
giving you the one or two mangoes when you have completed the chore, he would
say “Come tomorrow, I will give your bowl full!”
You would return the
following day bushy-tailed and enthusiastic. Chimugore would have another
favour to ask of you and when you remind him of his promise he would ask “What
did I say?” It will finally dawn on you that Chomugore’s tomorrow is always a
day away!
Ever since Zimbabwe gained
her independence nearly 40 years ago Zanu PF first under the leadership of Robert
Mugabe and the last two years under one Emmerson Mnangagwa has promised
freedom, liberty, justice, peace and economic prosperity.
Who can ever forget Mugabe’s
“Gutsa ruzhinji!” (Mass prosperity!) and “scientific Socialism” promises of the
1980s! When Mugabe came up with his free education, hefty annual wage increases
for the workers, price controls, etc., etc. many people did not doubt for one
minute that here was mass prosperity. The nation’s attention was focused on policies
to benefit the ordinary people, very few people even noticed the parallel
extravagant policies to benefit the ruling elite; the genesis of Zanu PF’s
patronage system which is in turn gave rise to the mismanagement and corrupt.
Mugabe’s scientific
socialism was doomed to fail because it was all about spending and economic prosperity
comes from producing not spending; that is common sense. After just one decade
of the reckless spending, price controls, a boated public sector soaking up the
resources like a sponge, criminal waste of human and material resource by Zanu
PF ruling elite, etc. it was clear Zimbabwe’s economy was in serious trouble.
In 1990 Zanu PF introduced
its first of two five-year IMF and WB sponsored Economic Structural Adjustment
Program (ESAP) in which the socialist policies benefiting the masses, such as
free health care, price controls, wage increases, etc. were all cut back or
abandoned. The program also called for the cuts in the bloated public sector,
the mismanagement, corruption, etc. which would have hurt the ruling elite and
the patronage system. Zanu PF never implemented these latter cuts. It is no
wonder the expected economic recovery never occurred.
The second ESAP was a
repeat of the first and it too failed for the same reason – Zanu PF implemented
the reforms affecting the masses but did nothing to end the criminal waste of
resources by the bloated ruling elite whose greed for wealth was insatiable.
So, the 1990s was the
period when the masses were asked to “tighten their belts” as part of ESAP only
that they have never loosened their belts again as the expected economic recoveries
never materialised. Mass prosperity turned into mass poverty and ever since
things have got from bad to worse.
When Emmerson Mnangagwa ousted
his former boss, Robert Mugabe, in the military coup in November 2017 the
Zimbabwe economy was in total ruins and the majority lived in abject poverty.
Unemployment had soared to 90%, ¾ of the population lived on US$30 or less, basic
services such as health care and supply of clean water had all but collapsed,
etc. Mnangagwa hit the ground running with his “Zimbabwe is open for business!”
Sadly, it was all bark no bite, just like Mugabe’s “Gutsa ruzhinji!”
The biggest mistake the
people of Zimbabwe have made is to focus on how Zanu PF has failed to deliver
economic prosperity, important thou this might be. After 39 years of Zanu PF
misrule resulting in the economic meltdown we are witnessing today it should have
been obvious that not only that Zanu PF has corrupt and incompetent and hence
the economic ruins but more significantly why was it that the party was allowed
to remain in power all these years.
It was one thing for
Chomugore short-changing the children with his promise of mangoes tomorrow; the
dirty old man never ever tried any of those dirty tricks on any of adults. But
even the children, they soon learned that Chomugore was not one to be trusted
to keep his promises. There is therefore something sickening that Zanu PF has
successful managed to stay in power for 39 years and dragged the nation deeper
and deeper into economic poverty and despair.
The genesis of Zanu PF’s
political strangle hold on the nation dates back to the years of our struggle
for independence. Although the clarion call before independence was “One man,
one vote!” but by the time the black majority had the chance to vote in the
1980, Zanu PF made it clear the civil war would continue if the party lost the
elections.
So, in 1980 the people
voted to end the civil war but ipso facto also voted for the one-party
dictatorship because Zanu PF went on to ruthless impose the de facto one-party
dictatorship we have to this day. For the last 39 years, Zanu PF has rigged the
elections to stay in power regardless of the party’s checked performance record
as corrupt and incompetent to rule.
For the last 20 years, at
least, Zimbabwe confirmed its status as a pariah state ruled by corrupt, incompetent
and vote rigging thugs. The country’s economy has suffered because no one likes
to do business with thugs and as long as the country remains a pariah state
there will be no meaningful economic recovery. None!
Zanu PF has rigged
elections, quickly seized the instruments of government and presented the
nation with a fait accompli of a Zanu PF government. Time and time again the
nation has had to make do with that political reality and do whatever the
nation can to revive the economy within the diktats of the regime. This has not
worked hence the reason the economy has sunk deeper and deeper into the abyss.
By rigging last year’s
election Mnangagwa confirmed Zimbabwe is still a pariah state and per se ruled
out any meaningful economic recovery and it is therefore no surprise that the
economic too has continued on its trajectory of sinking deeper and deeper into
the abyss. The subtle difference is the heart-breaking economic hardship are
causing so much suffering and deaths it is morally, socially and political
unacceptable. There is a real danger of the long-suffering masses venting their
bottled anger in violent street protests or worse.
As much as Mnangagwa would
wish the nation would accept last year’s rigged elections as water under the
bridge and now work with the regime to try revive the economy; this will not
happen. Not this time; because the economy has sunk to deep for the
consequences to be ignored. The need to revive the country’s comatose economy
is urgent. And the only sure way to revive the economy is by ending Zimbabwe’s
pariah state curse and for that Zanu PF must step down.
The suggestion that Zanu
PF can go into some power sharing arrangement with MDC is not going to change
the reality of Zimbabwe being a pariah state because MDC leaders will be
nothing more than window dressing.
Mnangagwa’s SONA was about
making more empty promises of a more peaceful and prosperous tomorrow. After 39
years of waiting for, it is clear Zanu PF is incapable of delivering peace and
prosperity and the focus should be on ending the party’s carte blanche powers
to rig elections. Mnangagwa’s whole SONA was about more empty promises and maintaining
the status quo, the very antithesis of what the country is dying for - meaningful
change!
2 comments:
Let me guess, Mnangagwa rigged last year's elections so he can be the one to repel the oppressive laws! How considerate of him!
The people of Zimbabwe are caught between a rock and the deep blue sea. The economic meltdown is causing untold suffering and deaths and yet to protest in demand for change will attract brutal repression from the regime. The more reason the people must be careful and make sure they risk life and limb and bring real change this time.
If people protest bring about a new Zanu and MDC GNU, then it is a wasted opportunity because that will bring about no change just as the 2008 GNU brought no change. People need to learn from the past and not repeat the same stupid mistakes!
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