Monday, 30 April 2018

ED ignores Zanu PF violence to talk about "democratic ethos" - essence of "legitimacy trap" P Guramatunhu

“Zanu PF's hotly-contested primary elections took place countrywide yesterday amid violent and chaotic scenes, as well as damaging allegations of bribery, favouritism and the imposition of candidates - prompting the ruling party to postpone the internal polls in many constituencies to today,” reported Daily News.

“In Mashonaland Central, police made several arrests in Mazowe West where alleged supporters of the sitting MP, Kazembe Kazembe, were said to have slashed the vehicle tyres of rival Tafadzwa Musarara.

"The tyres were deflated and my driver was attacked, and I know it is the work of incumbent MP Kazembe Kazembe's campaigning team who were spotted at the scene. Arrests have been made under RRB 333861440," Musarara told the Daily News.

If there is so much violence and mayhem by Zanu PF members directed against fellow Zanu PF members how much worse when it is the against the opposition whom they consider to be puppets of the West seeking regime change!

If the violence is taking place in urban centres how much worse will it be in the rural backwaters where the Zanu PF thugs rule the roost!

It is disappointing that President Mnangagwa is not even concerned about the violence in his own party. “Whatever teething problems we have experienced so far, we remain convinced that the democratic course we have started in the management of our party affairs is the correct one, indeed one befitting a party of our history, our strength and our stature,” he said.

“As the ruling party, the democratic content and standards of our processes define and preordain our national politics. We thus not fear to widen the scope and play of the elective ethic in our party affairs and processes. Whatever challenges we face in the interim must thus be in the direction of firmly rooting the democratic ethos which, after all, we planted in the land through our historical sacrifices as a party of the national liberation.”

What “democratic ethos” has Zanu PF ever planted?

Here lays the essence of the nation’s failure to make any head way in addressing its teething economic and political problems. The root cause of the economic problems is the criminal waste of national resources, material and human, through mismanagement and corruption. For the last 38 years, these problems have been allowed grown and spread like cancerous tumour to force the economy into the state of total meltdown pushing unemployment into the nauseating height of 90% and ¾ of our people into abject poverty.

First the nation could not get the Zanu PF government to address these problem, the regime simply ignored the calls for changed and ignored the tragic human suffering brought on by the economic decline. Ordinarily the people would have voted Zanu PF out of office but this did not happen because the regime has routinely rigged elections.

In short, the root cause of Zimbabwe’s economic problems is the nation’s failure to remove Zanu PF from office even when it was clear the regime corrupt and incompetent and must go. The nation was stuck with a corrupt and tyrannical regime for 38 years and counting.

There is no hope of getting meaningful regime change as long as Zanu PF retains the carte blanche powers to rig the vote. The party has resisted all efforts to get democratic reforms, designed to take away the vote-rigging powers, implemented. As we can see from his remark above, President Mnangagwa maintains Zanu PF is a democratic party that does not rig elections.

“Nearly 20 years into Zimbabwe's unresolved Machiavellian Moment, and as the old order has been bleeding to death slowly, while the new has been struggling to be born, it has become quite clear that the birth of a new dispensation is being arrested by the country's lingering illegitimacy trap,” admitted Professor Jonathan Moyo in a recent article written from his hiding place in exile.

“The means for legitimately getting into, staying in and getting out of political office in Zimbabwe, in government and mainstream political parties, have remained contested since 1980. Just about all holders of elective public office in politics, especially but not only at the level of the presidency, are illegitimate. The problem has been so pervasive that it has found expression even in appointed offices in the civil and security services. It is notable that key members of the ZDF "command element" that staged the November coup had outlived their tenure and were thus in the command illegitimately.”

Moyo is running away from President Mnangagwa and his junta regime, his erstwhile former Zanu PF colleagues. Moyo and a few other G40 faction members have been on the run since last November’s military coup in which saw ED and his Lacoste faction seize power.

It is heartening to hear Professor Moyo is admitting Zanu PF’s failure to hold free and fair elections and hence the “lingering legitimacy trap”. It is disappointing that Moyo is admitting this now when he has lost power and influence to help get the nation out of this trap.

Whilst there no stopping these flawed elections going ahead now, the way out of this legitimacy trap is for the international observers admit that with no meaningful reforms it is impossible to hold free, fair and credible elections and thus declare the elections null and void.

11 comments:

Patrick said...

@ Stop-a-thief
Bhora Musango nearly worked in 2008 when it gave Tsvangirai 73% of the March vote but ED and company step in and they got ZEC to whittle down Tsvangirai's vote count to 47% to force a run-off. It took them six week to cook up the new results, still they did it.

In the run-off Zanu PF unleashed the party thugs, war veterans and State Security personel on the defenceless civilians like wolves in penned sheep. Zanu PF taught the civilians a lesson the nation has never forgotten! "Vakadzidziswa chakakonisa imbwa kuse kunyenama ichingo!" as one would say in Shona.

Zanu PF has already deployed the war veterans and 5 000 faithful as dogs soldiers who are re-organising Zanu PF from the cell, village, ward right up the national level. These overzealous thugs invite you to attend Zanu PF but all those in the know that you will be very foolish not to attend. The invitation was an order!

Some people have been saying Zanu PF is not on the ground campaigning - how naive and ignorant some people are.

Yes the opposition have been allowed to hold their rallies but always at Zanu PF's discretion - the party has the power to disrupt any rally at the drop of the hat and it will do so as the election heat up!

Zanu PF's vote rigging juggernaut is going through its gears and there is no stopping it once it goes into overdrive. You can try to stop it with Bhora Musango but I can tell you now that is forlorn hope!

These elections should not be taking place without first implementing all the democratic reforms, designed to dismantle the vote rigging juggernaut and use the components to rebuilt the democratic institutions, their original and intended use. With no reforms in place, the best and only course of action is to have the elections declared null and void.

Patrick said...

Mutsvangwa tell the opposition to take up guns if the object to the army involvement in the elections.
All those who believe that Zanu PF will ever want to relinguish its undemocratic control of the Army, Police, CIO, ZEC and all the other state institutions are being naive. The one thing Zanu PF has been totally focused on is that the dictatorship must seize absolute power and to retain it at all costs. If the party was therefore to give up its iron grip on key state institution like the Army, the regime knows lifetime goal, its November 2017 coup, operation restore legacy, is now doomed.
To expect Zanu PF to up power is a big ask but to think these thugs would do it for the love of justice and motherland is foolishness devoid of hope!

Zanu PF has deployed 5000 soldiers, 25 in each of the 200 constituencies, who are doggedly faithful to the dictatorship, who are working with the war veterans and other party thugs to re-organise the party from the cell up. Anyone who says Zanu PF is not campaigning does not know what they are talking about. These thugs are holding Zanu PF meeting in every village every week; all are invited to attend and few dare refuse because that invitation is an order!
Zanu PF is set to rig the vote; these elections are done.
These elections should not be taking place without first implementing all the democratic reforms, designed to dismantle the vote rigging juggernaut and use the components to rebuild the democratic institutions, their original and intended use. With no reforms in place, the best and only course of action is to have the elections declared null and void.

Patrick said...

@Icho

Tsvangirai got 73% in March 2008 and still that was not good enough for him to win. Please tell us what "stringent measure," as Chamisa claims, have been devised to win rigged elections? The world is sick and tired of you opposition claiming you are going to win but only to cry that the elections were rigged after each elections.

These elections should not be taking place without first implementing the reforms first.

Patrick said...

ED is happy with the violence and intimidation that took place! There is no doubt that the violence and intimidation against the opposition will be considerably worse and again ED will be happy! We are in trouble, serious trouble!

Zimbabwe Light said...

If Morgan Tsvangirai and his MDC friends had not sold-out during the GNU and had implemented the democratic reforms we would not be in this mess.

To go one stage back, if Robert Mugabe and his Zanu PF thugs, including the thugs in government today who are masquerading as the nation's saviour which they are not, had not sold-out for the last 38 years by corrupting the country to create the Zanu PF dictatorship we would have needed to implement the reforms.

Whilst it is true that the nation has never had a free media and freedom of expression and so the great majority of our people have never had the chance to be enlightened in any meaningful way. Ian Smith had the media controlled to keep the black majority ill-informed and voiceless. After independence Mugabe kept the same oppressive system so it served him and Zanu PF. During the GNU MDC too kept the oppressive media practices out of ignorance - frankly MDC leaders had no clue how much the nation gained form having a free media, they did not appreciate how they, as the opposition, gained too.

So, whilst at first sight, the people must take the blame for failing to supervise both Zanu PF and MDC to make sure they did not sell-out on people's freedom and rights. However, on closer examination, it is clear that most people were powerless to ever hold any politicians to democratic account because they never understood their duties and powers in a healthy and functional democracy. The country's political system was set up to keep them in the dark and never allow them to see the light.

We have never had a healthy and functional democracy because the ordinary citizens never had the freedoms and basic human rights; as citizens they had the duty to defend these freedoms and rights when someone threaten to take take them away and to demand them were they were denied. But if they never in their whole lives ever had these freedoms and rights it was rich to expect the people to defend and/or demand something they never had.

It is clear both Zanu PF and MDC want these flawed elections to go ahead for selfish reasons, they are sharing the spoils of office in that the former has its landslide victory to keep its iron grip on power whilst the later is happen the scraps.

The ordinary people are the greatest losers here in that they remain poor economically and with no real political power to hold the ruling elite to democratic account. Implementing the democratic reforms is the only sure way of restoring the people's freedoms and basic human rights, left the people hold these freedoms and rights in their own hands; there is fair chance they will fight for them and never allow anyone to ever take them away again.

If President Mnangagwa fails to keep his promise to hold free, fair and credible elections then he should be so in no uncertain terms by declaring these flawed elections null and void. Someone who can implement the reforms and hold free and fair elections must then be found!

Zimbabwe Light said...

Tendai you can wish all want for regime change, that will never happen in Zimbabwe - not whilst Zanu PF continue to enjoy the carte blanche powers to rig elections. These elections will only be remarkable in Zimbabwe's history if they are free, fair and credible. Or, if they not, they are declared null and void and, this time, lead to the implementation of the reforms and the hold of free, fair and credible election.

We are in this political and economic mess because of the Zanu PF's breath-taking incompetence, corrupt and tyrannical rule. We have been stuck with the regime for 38 years now because it rigged elections again and again to stay in power. This year's elections must be about breaking this vicious cycle of rigged elections followed by five years of bad governance leading to another rigged election etc.

We need to end Zanu PF's carte blanche powers to rig the elections because until we do we will never have a competent government that is accountable to us, the people.

All this talk of the November 2017 coup completely transformed Zanu PF bringing a new dispensation, a new Zimbabwe and new era, is all cheap propaganda. Zimbabwe is still a pariah state ruled by thugs. The regime's "Zimbabwe is open for business!" clarion call has failed to bring into the country the expected flood of investors. Investors are a shrewd lot who are not easily fooled, they have shied away from Zimbabwe because it is clear to them that the country is still ruled by thugs!

By failing to hold free, fair and credible elections, Zimbabwe have effectively told the world "Zimbabwe is NOT open for business!" With unemployment a nauseating 90% and ¾ of our people swallowing in abject poverty; Zimbabwe needs investors to help revive the economy.

Millions of our people are suffering and hundreds are dying every month for want of $5 per month worth of drugs. The filthy rich ruling elite are going to SA, Singapore, etc. for all their health needs; costing the nation millions of dollars every month in travel, accommodation plus the usual medical fees. If all this money was spent in the local health service, it would not be in the deplorable state it is in.

How long are we going to allow this tragic waste of human lives to continue and to what end and purpose?

If we allow President Mnangagwa to get away with yet another rigged election; it will add five more years to the 38 years we have been stuck with this corrupt and tyrannical Zanu PF dictatorship. Add five more years of economic meltdown and heart-break human suffering and deaths! And, worse still, we would done this because we would not believe our own eyes; see Zanu PF is still a party of ruthless, corrupt, vote-rigging and incompetent thugs!

Zimbabwe Light said...

Zimbabwe's economic and political problems are not simple linear equations with simple solutions.

y = 8w - 6

If you know the value of w you can work out the corresponding value of y

if w = 1, y = 8x1 - 6
= 8 - 6
= 2
Adding one more variable to the above changes the equation.

y = 8w - 6z

This time it is not enough to know the value of w, you also need to know the value of z to work out the value pf y.

if w = 2 and z = 1 y = 8x2 - 6x1
= 16 - 6
= 10

Before last year coup.
p(Zanu PF chefs) = R Mugabe + w(good Lacotse) + z (bad Lacoste) + m (good G40) + n(bad G40)

Have assumed that the good and bad Zanu PF leaders who did not support Lacoste or G40 had no real influence and can be left out.

In the post November era we know the following;

R G Mugabe was asked to resign.

All good Lacoste members are still in government/party/Army/Police/ etc. w= 1 000
There are no bad Lacoste members z = 0
All good G40 members have been rehabilitated and accepted as good Lacoste members m = 50

Dab G40 members are Grace Mugabe, J Moyo, P Zhuwao, S Kasukuwere, Mphoko, I Chombo, W Mzembe, A Chihuri, Bvonyongwe, Ministers and Deputy Ministers, MPs and all other senior leaders n = 100


If we assume that Zanu PF chefs from MP to President, senior civil servants, service chiefs, etc. p = 2000

2 000 (Zanu PF) = (1) RG Mugabe + 1 000 (good L) + 50 (good G40) + 100 (bad G40)

Even if we factored RG Mugabe's huge influence to give him the presence of 100 chefs in one the maths still do not add up. We need the number of bad Lacoste members to be reviewed upwards, z = 0 does not make any sense. We also know that many of the Lacoste members involved in the coup have been looting in Marange, confirming z cannot be zero.

To suggest that Zanu PF does not have any more thugs post the coup is a nonsense.

Nomusa Garikai said...

The dye is cast, President Mnangagwa cannot hold free and fair election because the window for him to implement the democratic reform has closed. We cannot have free and fair elections without a free media, a verified voters' roll, transparent party funding, etc. these things are a reality on the ground and cannot be changed now when we are deep into the election process already.

The interesting question now is the international observer going to turn a blind eye to all these things out of total indifference to the tragic human suffering by the millions of ordinary Zimbabweans at the coal face of this political mess?!!!

Nomusa Garikai said...

@ Duni Sani

With defeatist like you around it is little wonder the country is in a mess.

As a matter of fact, there were golden opportunities to end Zanu PF rule during the GNU but MDC failed to implement the reforms. SADC leaders have said Zimbabwe should not go into these elections without the reforms, they will declare these flawed elections null and void if a reasonable number of Zimbabweans were to make it clear they are not participating in these flawed elections.

The situation can be saved but not if you have already convinced yourself that it cannot be save - that is what being a defeatist means. The real tragedy for Zimbabwe is the country has more than its fair share of defeatists and idiots!

Nomusa Garikai said...

@ British bulldog

Where were the dynamic youth five years ago? Why did they fail to stop Zanu PF rigging the elections then?

Your youth champion Nelson Chamisa was even a cabinet minister in the 2008 to 2013 GNU which had the golden opportunity to implement the democratic reforms and thus guarantee free, fair and credible elections for all time! MDC failed to get even one reform implemented.

"If you TRY to RIG its not going to work and the DYNAMIC YOUTH WILL VOTE FOR THE DYNAMIC S. YOU ARE GONE MADALAS," you say.

This is nothing more than an example of Chinua Achebe's boastful dog who claiming to put out a furnace fire with his puny fart! The elections are being rigging before your eyes and you are too concerted to even notice it.

SADC leaders have advised that Zimbabweans should not go into these elections without first implementing the reforms. Each generation, sect, party, etc. has come out with its own excuse to justify their insanity of contesting flawed elections yours is DYNAMIC YOUTH - just another dog's puny fart!

Nomusa Garikai said...

@DM

You are 100% right there! What I find particularly annoying here is that many of the people who are ignoring the glaring irregularity such as intimidation and vote buying are living in countries the know will never accept these things. Why they are lowing the thrash hold of the free and fair elections is what has got us into this mess!