For the last 38 years Zimbabwe’s economy has been in decline and yet
year on year without failure our political leaders have said steadfastly
refused to even acknowledge the decline and talked of economic doom. When they
were finally forced to acknowledge the economic decline, they have talked how
they had fit on the answers to guarantee economic recovery.
If the country’s economic problems had been dealt with openly and
honestly, in which failure was acknowledge and those responsible held to
democratic account, the country would not be in the mess it is in today.
Zimbabwe’s economy is in total meltdown. Unemployment is a nauseating 90% and
has been 80% plus for the last decade already. Worse still, there is no reason
to believe things are ever going to improve because, instead of dealing with
country’s problems honestly, we continue to hear the same empty promises
founded on conjuncture and wishful thinking.
“The ZITF remains an important platform to promote trade and investment
for Zimbabwe, and is quite strategic under the new economic order of Government,”
said President Mnangagwa. He was opened 59th Zimbabwe International
Trade Fair (ZITF).
“The theme for ZITF 2018, "Sustainable Industrial Development: Inclusive-Competitive-Collaborative" articulates an important pillar of the new trajectory that has prioritised industrialisation to contribute to sustained economic recovery of Zimbabwe.
“The theme for ZITF 2018, "Sustainable Industrial Development: Inclusive-Competitive-Collaborative" articulates an important pillar of the new trajectory that has prioritised industrialisation to contribute to sustained economic recovery of Zimbabwe.
“The Government is making significant strides to put in place and effect
viable policies and strategies to improve the business operating environment
and address challenges that have affected industrial development and growth.
Attracting both domestic and foreign investments, mobilising funding for
industrial development, supporting the agriculture and mining sectors, and
infrastructure development, are key priority areas of focus expected to help
attain sustained economic growth and development.”
But that is just the point, you keep talking of “the new economic order”,
conducive to economic recovery, when there no such order and thus the recovery
will remain a mirage!
Mr President, for the last five months, you have been selling the nation
and the world at large the notion that the removal of Robert Mugabe from the
presidency, booting a few of his G40 friends from power and the scrapping of a
few obnoxious laws have completely transformed Zimbabwe. The country has
shed-off its pariah state ruled by thugs status to become a democratic nation given
to holding free elections and to upholding the rule of law. If all these things
have happened, they would certainly constitute a new order; none of them have
happened!
The regime says it has “zero tolerance policy towards corruption”. Yes,
some G40 Zanu PF members have been arrested but no one else. It is nonsensical to
even suggest that only G40 faction members in the party were corrupt. It is no
secret that many of the November 2017 coup plotter also benefited of the
wholesale looting of Chiadzwa and Marange diamonds. Whilst some people have
since been brought before a Parliamentary Committee investigating the looting,
the Army top brass is yet to do so.
The “new dispensation”, as President Mnangagwa and his coup junta want
to call themselves, had the golden opportunity to prove, beyond all doubt, that
it was not the same corrupt, vote rigging and ruthless thugs by keeping its
promise to hold free, fair and credible elections. The regime has time and time
again scuffed its lines!
President Mnangagwa appointed retired Major Engelbert Rugeje, Zanu PF
National Political Commissar. Rugeje in notorious for having led the Zanu PF
military and party thugs who harassed, beat, rape and even murdered civilians
in the election mayhem of 2008. The party was punishing the people for
rejecting Mugabe in the earlier vote. The wanton violence of that year has been
the benchmark of the nauseating heights of political barbarism Zanu PF would
climb in its resolve to retain power at all cost. If President Mnangagwa was
serious about transforming Zanu PF, then why would he appoint a notorious
political thug to head the party’s organization, education and indoctrination!
President Mnangagwa bought and dished out the twin cab trucks to all the
country’s 282 Chiefs; Robert Mugabe had already promised to do this before he
was deposed. Everyone knows that the Chiefs have always done a sterling job of carolling
and frog marching rural voters to vote for Zanu PF. ED was making the down
payment to the Chiefs to make sure they never tire!
The regime has refused to implement even one of the many democratic
reforms Zanu PF had agreed to at the start 2008 GNU. It is impossible to see
how the country can have free and fair elections without a free media,
verifiable voters’ roll, independent ZEC, with the Army and Police meddling in
the election process, etc.
President Mnangagwa has made his trademark “Zimbabwe is open for
business!” proclamation from every platform, for these last five months. Sadly,
there have been very few foreign and local investors who have taken up the
invitation for one simple reason, they are not convinced Zimbabwe has changed.
No investors like to do business in a country that rigs elections and
the next regime change can only be yet another military coup!
“I wish to reiterate that Zimbabwe is Open for Business. Both domestic
and foreign investors are welcome to invest and do business in Zimbabwe and tap
the diverse opportunities offered by all sectors of industry including
investing in Special Economic Zones and infrastructure development,” continue
President Mnangagwa.
Well, you can reiterate you call a thousand times a day, if you wish; no
investors are coming. The idea that the November coup could ever transformer
Zanu PF is laughable!
After 38 years of enjoying absolute political power, murderous abuse of
power and some of the worst cases of looting in human history Zanu PF thugs
have become addicted to power and the luxuries it brought along; Mnangagwa and
the junta stage the coup, risking their very lives, because they could not bear
the prospect of giving it all up. The junta has one additional reason why it
cannot hold free and fair elections and risk losing to the opposition, with a
dirty past, they can imagine the nightmare of having it all come out!
The nearly four decades in power had allowed Zanu PF dictatorship to
grow into a monster in both numerical head count and in political power as the
party’s influence extended its reach into every section and façade of the
nation. The rot in the leaders was so deep set the party could only be
transformed by uprooting the corrupt, vote rigging and tyrannical members. The
November coup boot out of the party Robert Mugabe and a dozen or so others – nowhere
near enough to justify President Mnangagwa’s claim the party was a “new
dispensation”.
The party’s refusal to give up its dictatorial powers including the
carte blanche power to rig elections has confirm Zanu PF has not change one
bit; it is still a party of corrupt vote-rigging thugs.
So, as long as the “new dispensation”, “new era”, “new trajectory”, “new
economic order”, remain fragments of President Mnangagwa and his coup junta’s
imagination, no different from many imaginary changes by Robert Mugabe and his
cronies; economic recovery will too remain a mirage. With unemployment already
at 90%, ¾ of the people living on US$1.00 or less a day, etc. Zimbabwe cannot
afford another rigged elections and another five more years celebrating imaginary
economic recovery because real people need real jobs!
4 comments:
With the economy in such a mess that 90% are unemployed, 3/4 are living on US$1.00 or less a day, hundreds of thousands dying unnecessarily, etc., etc. there is one thing we, in Zimbabwe, must surely agree on - WE NEED A SOLUTION TO OUR ECONOMIC MELTDOWN.
After five months of "Zimbabwe is open for business!" it is a fact that no investors have answered that call.
If the truth be told, with so much now stake it must be said from the roof top, no serious thinking person out there really expected the flood of investors to come because investors do not do business in pariah state ruled by corrupt, vote-rigging and murderous thugs.
Only fools believe President Mnangagwa and the junta's foolish notion that booting out Mugabe and a few G40 members out of the party was enough to turn corrupt and ruthless thugs like Minister Shiri, VP Chiwenga and President Mnangagwa, himself; into law abiding and competent and visionary leaders. Investors, of all the people out there, are certainly not fools!
When President Mnangagwa was being coy about holding free and fair elections, he only confirmed the investors’ gut feeling that all this talk of new Zimbabwe was all hot air.
We have millions of ordinary Zimbabweans out there whose lives is a living hell-on-earth, has been for decades in many cases, who want something done to end the economic meltdown. The starting point is to publicly state that Mnangagwa’s “Zimbabwe is open for business!” is not even a painkiller much less a cure. It is time-wasting placebo, at best, if not a downright sugar coated poison – after all it is 38 years of taking placebos that have landed us in this mess, a small cut has now turned into a life-threaten gangrine!
@ Enos Denhere
One sure way of chasing away investors in to create the impression that the country is a lawless one ruled by thugs who do not pay their debt, rig elections, etc., etc. which is exactly what Zimbabwe has become under Zanu PF. The coup did not change the dictatorial instinct of President Mnangagwa, VP Chiwenga, Minister Shiri and the other Zanu PF thugs and minions.
When now Foreign Minister S B Moyo announced to the world that there was no military coup in Zimbabwe but rather "a military assisted transition" he was summing up what has become the Mnangagwa led Zanu PF regime's narcissist obsession with appearance at the expense of reality and substance. The junta even had the country's supreme court judges to endorse the coup as "legal". The country's legal system, like so many other institutions, has been corrupted by Zanu PF, there was no need to hold the gun to any of the judges' head in this case.
What we can be certain of is that investors are not easily fooled, they are concerned with reality and not appearances, they know Zimbabwe is still a pariah state ruled by corrupt, vote-rigging thugs who are just trying to pull wool over everyone's eyes.
Zimbabwe will never have the much needed FDI; needed to kick-start the economic recovery after decades of neglect, decay and criminal waste; as long as Zimbabwe remains a pariah state ruled by thugs!
I do not know if we are living in the same Zimbabwe with this Wilbert---this weekend a delegation from China landed in Zimbabwe to implement with immediate effect an investment worth $3 billion and every detail of this investment has been given both by state and press.Here it is again for the uninformed:
1) Refurbishment of Hwange power generation units 7and 8---this will result in the generation of an additional 600W of power ---- power is the most important basis for any further industrial expansion so this is a very appropriate and smart move.
2) Refurbishment of RG Mugabe airport----most investors in the country will come through this airport---it is so to speak, the door through which the money will flow!
3) The drilling of an ADDITIONAL 500 boreholes---the construction of a hydroelectric power plant on another dam---the upgrading of some other dam to get adequate water supply to Harare----the setting up of a tourist industrial park
All together, these activities have already stated, the money has been released and its a whopping $3 billion---WHAT INVESTMENT ARE YOU TALKING ABOUT WILBERT---when a journo suffers from intense writers block---he must take a sabbatical---otherwise we shall be forced to implement OPERATION RESTORE CREDIBLE JOURNALISM!
@ Noble Ngara
Just a couple of things that you have confirmed:
1) There have been no investors from Davos, the West, Africa, etc. who have shown any interest because they all can see that Zimbabwe is still very much a pariah state ruled by thugs or be it under new management. Investors do not do business with thugs, period!
2) All the projects above are from one "investor", the Chinese government. When Mugabe went around begging for funds for his $27 billion ZimAsset, it was only the Chinese who throw into the begging bowl a few unsigned cheques worth $3 billion. The Chinese do not mind that the elections are going to be rigged - they do not even hold elections - but they know corruption is still rampant in Zimbabwe and that is the only reason they too did not want to do business with Mugabe. They know Mnangagwa will be better but not much better because he too has failed to stop the looting in Marange.
The Chinese know with not meaningful economic recovery Zimbabwe is doomed. They have refused to give Zanu PF cash to ease the cash shortage because they know that is a black hole. Funding specific projects is a safer bet because they will have something to show for it.
President Mnangagwa and his junta are rigging these elections, it is in their DNA as thugs to do so.
But by rigging the elections the regime will confirm beyond doubt that Zanu PF is a party of thugs and also confirm there will be no investors. The country's economic decline will continue. As much as the Chinese would want to keep Zimbabwe under their sphere of influence they are shrewd enough to also know that regime change in Zimbabwe has been long overdue. The people of Zimbabwe are pretty fed-up with Zanu PF and so is SADC and the rest of the world.
My prediction is that the international observers are going to declare the coming elections null and void because none of them can ever pretend that elections with no free media; no verifiable voters' roll; where key state institutions like ZEC, Police, etc. are so powerless they are all but departments in Zanu PF in all but name; etc. can ever be free, fair and credible. Zimbabwe is going to go back to implementing the democratic reforms it should have implemented during the GNU!
Douglas Shoko
It is either the investors are "smart", as you say, or they are not. If you are right that they are smart, then they will read your positive analysis of what is happening in Zimbabwe and, I hope, read my negative analysis and then make up their own minds. If we assume you are right and I am wrong; they will invest in the country because they believed you. If they are not smart then they will believe in the wrong analysis, mine, and not invest in the country. Well that is good for the country because we will therefore be assured of the smart investors only investing in the country.
If you and me both positive analysis, as you are suggesting, which also happen to be the truth; then the smart investors will still invest in the country. And the not smart investor will still not believe the sound advice and not invest.
So, either way Zimbabwe will get the smart investors and the stupid ones will stay out. In other words there is nothing to be gained by asking me to write a positive analysis because the smart investor will figure it out for himself or herself!
I believe investors are a very smart and shrewd lot; and not to be easily fooled by some smart Alec wearing a rainbow scarf crying "Zimbabwe is open for business!" when the country is still some pariah state ruled by thugs!
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