“A regional research unit, NKC
African Economics, has described that Joice Mujuru as "Zimbabwe's
realistic hope of salvation", saying the veteran politician had more
political clout than current opposition party leaders,” reported the Zimbabwe
Independent.
NKC’s report is titled “Mujuru Has Sights On Power, Not Alliances With Those Who Threw It Away”
NKC is spot on two points: Mujuru
and People First (PF) are the only one with a realistic chance of defeating
Mugabe and his Zanu PF if, and it is a big IF, elections are held in the
present political atmosphere with no democratic reforms implemented. PF’s
political “clout” comes from the fact as ex-Zanu PF members themselves. Although
they do not the sophistication of rigging the elections they, nonetheless, they
will know enough it make it very difficult for Mugabe to rig and have a clean
sweep as in the past.
Didymus Mutasa has already started
giving details of how Finance Minister Patrick Chinamasa bussed in voters in
the 2013 election. In the next elections Mutasa will have a lot more at stake
and the last thing Zanu PF want is a nationwide election scandal!
Second, yes Tsvangirai et al had the
chance to win power but throw that away by failing to implement the democratic
reforms throughout the five GNU years. Tendai Biti, Tsvangirai’s right-hand man
throughout the GNU had since admitted that failing to implement the reforms was
an act “collective idiocy” by the MDC leaders. MDC has lost a lot of political
credibility especially with SADC leaders and the international community.
Some of the MDC supporters have kept
faith with the party but that is only because they have never understood what
the reforms were about and the political consequences of failing to implement
them have never sunk in. However as more and more Zimbabweans have understood
what happened, they have walked away from Tsvangirai and the other MDC
factions. It is hard to gauge MDC’s support now but there is no doubt MDC has
been haemorrhaging supporters.
Since the rigged July 2013 elections
MDC has lost more and more supporters as the party blundered from pillar to
post. In June 2105, for example, Tsvangirai recalled MPs from the breakaway MDC
faction only to gift the seats to Zanu PF.
So, naturally Mujuru, has not been under
any pressure to form a coalition with Tsvangirai et al given MDC has lost
political credibility and is losing supporters with each political blunder.
The mistake the NKC researchers have
make however is to assume that the only thing Zimbabweans want out of the
political situation is to remove Mugabe and his Zanu PF friend out of office. Yes
we want to see the back of Mugabe and his thugs but not only to have the regime
replaced by an equally corrupt, incompetent and oppressive one in the name of
PF led by Mujuru. We want the dictator removed but also the whole autocratic
system of government dismantled and replaced with a healthy and functional
democratic system of government.
We KNOW to
dismantle the dictatorship we need to implement ALL the democratic reforms agreed in the 2008 GPA. Just
because Tsvangirai and his MDC friends did not know and appreciate the critical
importance of reforms NKC researchers must not assume everyone else in Zimbabwe
does not know.
Zanu PF is under great economic pressure from the economic
meltdown on the one side and political pressure from the dog-eat-dog fighting
tearing the party apart on the other. The pincer action is going to force the
regime to accept political reform and we will push for the implementation of
ALL the reforms then.
Our plan A is to get all the democratic reforms implemented
and the new democratic political dispensation will allow quality leaders to
emerge and the corrupt and incompetent ones will fall by the wayside.
If we fail to get any reforms implemented then elections
will be held in the present atmosphere where Zanu PF will try to rig the
elections once again. We will then deplore our plan B – Mujuru and her PF
clout!
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