Saturday, 19 August 2017

Can blame "proliferation of parties" for Zanu PF victory - it is hara-kiri to contest

Without even one democratic reform in place there is nothing to stop Zanu PF rigging next year's elections. The party will rig the vote just as readily as it rigged the July 2013 elections.

"If you go into elections, you are going to lose; the elections are done!" SADC leaders warned MDC leaders in June 2013, as a month before the July election.

This time, SADC leaders might just as well be warning every Zimbabwean out there, with a bit of working grey stuff between their ears, of the folly of contesting next year’s elections with no reforms in place. Like it or not the 2018 elections too “are done”!

“The proliferation of political parties on the Zimbabwean political landscape may appear to be a demonstration of democratic space on the Zanu PF chocked political scene, but far from it,” writes Mazviwanza Shiri, in Zimeye.

“It is certainly going to expunge the opposition’s chances of dislodging the Zanu PF regime from its deep rooted tentacles of power. Zanu PF must be watching with zeal and glee, the disoriented and fragmented efforts of their opponents and smile all the way to an electoral triumph in 2018.”

Zanu PF first watched with “zeal and glee” Morgan Tsvangirai and his MDC friends sitting there, throughout the five years of the GNU, like rabbits caught in the headlights and did nothing to implement the democratic reforms designed to stop Zanu PF rigging the elections. President Mugabe and his Zanu PF cronies were very pleased to see MDC disregard SADC leaders’ warning not to contest the 2013 elections with no reforms.

The regime is thrilled to bits to see that the opposition camp has still learned nothing from the past and they are once again going to contest next year’s election in total disregard of their own “No reform, no election!” resolutions! Who would not be rubbing their hands with “zeal and glee” when you have fools for opponents!

Even if the opposition parties were all to unite to form one MDC Alliance or whatever; without reforms Zanu PF will still win next year’s election. The key to dislodging Zanu PF from power is to stop the regime rigging the vote by implementing the democratic reforms.

People like Shiri, here, are cherry-picking; they accept Zanu PF has been rigging elections but to further their argument of a united opposition (in this case), voter mobilisation, etc. as the key to dislodge Zanu PF from power. They pretend Zimbabwean elections are free and fair and the opposition will win the elections if they do not split the opposition vote.

Shiri is making a mountain out of a mole-hill with all this talk of “proliferation of political parties”. Most of the 50 or so political parties have no more than a handful of followers beyond their immediate family and friends. Take Welshman Ncube and Simba Makoni, for example, they have contested the presidential race in the past; they have failed to garner more than 10% of the vote.

If we accepted the assumption that the 2013 elections were free, fair and credible; President Mugabe got 62% of the vote and, even if the opposition had fielded one candidate, Tsvangirai would have got 38% and still lost!  

As long as Zanu PF has the licence to rig the vote, the party will see to it that it wins the presidency and then the 2/3 majority, minimum, in parliament and in the senate.

We have elections next year and the instinctive reaction is to participate, call for the opposition to unite, go the extra mile to make sure one registers to vote and then vote, etc. Of course, we have done all things before and still Zanu PF was gone on to win the elections with a landslide. After 37 years of rigged elections, reason tells us that there is something fundamental wrong here and we KNOW what it is too - Zanu PF rigs elections.

By the time you, me and povo out there cast our vote – if we are even given a chance to do so – the result of the election is already known, “the elections are done” as SADC leaders would put it. So, all our effort going through all the torturous process of registering to vote, attending rallies, etc. are all a waste of time.

Of course, it is madness to keep participating in an election process when one knows fully well that the process is flawed, illegal and the result is already pre-determined. But, of course, there are some insane people out there who, even after 37 years of rigged elections, will still want to participate hoping again hope that the result will be different. To them participating is the instinctive reaction as the primordial flight or fight; no amount of reason and logic can stop them participating.  

In this case participating in these flawed elections is not just an act of madness but, worse still, a mindless act of hara-kiri because by participating people are giving the flawed and illegal process the modicum of credibility.

When the election result come out with the usual Zanu PF landslide victory it is comforting to the blissfully ignorant and na├»ve to blame “proliferation of political parties” for the defeat! Trust me, there is no comfort to be had from burying one’s head in the sand; not when one knew all along that contesting flawed elections for umpteenth time is a damn foolish thing to do! 

Friday, 18 August 2017

Zanu PF's vote rigging juggernaut is ready for blitzkrieg stage, "elections are done!"

At least one month before the July 2013 elections SADC leaders KNEW with certainty that Zanu PF had already won the elections and warned Tsvangirai and his MDC friends accordingly.

“If you go into elections next month, you are going to lose; the elections are done!” SADC leaders warned at the regional group summit in Maputo in June 2013, according to Dr Ibbo Mandaza who was there. 

As we know MDC leaders paid no heed and contested the July 2013 elections which Mugabe and Zanu PF, as SADC leaders had predicted, went on to blatant rig and win with a landslide! SADC leaders are not magicians gazing in crystal balls to predict the future. The evidence that Zanu PF was rigging the elections there for all to see; the GNU had failed to get even one democratic reform implemented and Zanu PF’s vote rigging juggernaut was going through its usual paces, the elections result could not be anything else but a Zanu PF landslide victory.

SADC had witness Zanu PF’s vote rigging antics in the past elections but more graphically in the 2008 elections which is why the regional grouping had asked the GNU to implement a raft of democratic reforms designed to stop the vote rigging. SADC leaders were aware that MDC, the GNU partner tasked to implement the reforms, had failed to get even one reform implemented. With not even one reform in place SADC leaders could see, as clear as day, Zanu PF’s vote rigging plans and how they were being methodically implemented.

To ensure a Zanu PF electoral victory the regime had to deny the opposition supporters the vote by making it very difficult for them to register as voters; make sure many of these who do register are not entered in the voters’ roll; many those who do make it on the voters’ roll are denied the vote because their details are posted in the wrong constituent roll than the one they expected; etc.; etc.

Meanwhile the regime would do everything to maximize its own vote by ensuring its supporters are given every opportunity to register to vote; many were allowed to register multiple times, to boast the voters’ roll numbers, and many were allowed to vote multiple times; etc.; etc.

Naturally, Zanu PF did not want its voters’ roll and all the other vote rigging shenanigans known and the regimes has used two ways to achieve its objective:

1)     Deliberate delay everything so that there is a mad dash towards the end, the blitzkrieg, so no one will have the time to scrutinize anything. Before people can catch their breath the elections will be over, Zanu PF declared the winner with a landslide and all the incriminating evidence gathered up and destroyed.

2)     Where the regime has a legal obligation to share information, such as releasing the voters’ roll at least one month before voting day, the regime has stubbornly refused to do so.

Not even one democratic reform was implemented since the July 2013 and there is all the evidence already that the Zanu PF vote rigging juggernaut, well-oiled with billions of dollars looted from Marange and Chiadzwa diamonds, has already gone through its gears; it is already into overdrive. The regime is dragging its feet, deliberately delaying things, ready for the blitzkrieg!

The regime was criticized by the AU Election Observer team, for example, for failing to release the 2013 voters’ roll as demanded by the constitution. One would think the regime would be quick off the mark; no chance of that.

The regime has taken three and half years to endless bickering and theatricals to decide who will purchase the Biometric Voter Registration (BVR) kits, who would be on the shortlist of possible suppliers of the kits, etc., etc. Whilst the nation had expected the new voters’ roll to be ready for verifying and trial runs, at least one year before the elections; it is shocking that voter registration has not even started. Everything is being deliberately held back for the blitzkrieg!

Zanu PF will never ever allow the release of verifiable 2018 voters’ roll, by Polling Station, one month before voting day, as is required by law. The voters roll is the smoking gun of the regime’s many rigging shenanigans.

So, with less than a year to go before next year’s elections one can say with certainty, just as SADC leaders had done before the 2013 elections, that Zanu PF have already won the elections.

“If the people of Zimbabwe go into elections next year, they are, once again, going to lose; the elections are done!” To paraphrase SADC leaders’ warning to MDC leaders in 2013.

It was very foolish of Tsvangirai and his MDC friends to ignore SADC leaders’ warning and contest the flawed July 2013 elections. Many Zimbabweans were not aware of SADC leaders’ warning not to contest the elections with no reforms back in June 2013 but not this time; the majority of Zimbabweans now know the folly of contesting flawed elections.

There is no point in anyone participating in the voter education, voter registration, attending political rallies and any other political activity because nothing we do will change the pre-determined election result – Mugabe winning the presidency and Zanu PF winning 2/3 majority in both houses. All our political activism now will only help to give the set result political credibility.

There is no point in Zimbabweans complaining of Zanu PF rigging elections after participating in the elections, we know that with no democratic reforms in place Zanu PF will rig the elections, guaranteed. SADC leaders warned that Zanu PF would rig the 2013 elections in advance and we know the same will happen in next year’s elections. The only logical thing to do is to refuse to take part in an election process we know in advance is flawed. It is better to refuse to take any part in a flawed process than to do so and give the process credibility!

Thursday, 17 August 2017

Opposition can repeat "Ghana surprise victory" argue Think Tank President - nonsense N Garikai

There is no doubt that Zimbabwe had the potential to be a free, just and prosperous nation when the country attained her independence in 1980. We have some of the best land and weather to grow all the nation’s food requirements as was shown by our breadbasket status before 1980. And we have vast mineral wealth and other resources.

Instead of being one of the most prosperous nation in Africa we are now the poorest. Ever since President Mugabe seized the white owned farms to give them mainly to his corrupt, incompetent and wasteful cronies the country has had to rely of imported food aid. We are starving in the land that is for all intend and purpose is the Garden of Eden. Decades of gross mismanagement and rampant corruption has destroyed the country’s once promising economy.

It took the nation two decades or so to acknowledge that President Mugabe and his Zanu PF party who took political power when the country attained her independence in 1980 was incompetent, corrupt and a murderous tyrant. From the day he got into power Mugabe has set out to systematically undermine the country’s democratic institutions and people’s freedoms and rights to create a de facto one party dictatorship. The regime has shown that it’s vote rigging machinery is formidable and it is absolutely ruthless in its drive to retain political power at all cost.

In Zanu PF’s 37 years in power the regime has murdered over 30 000 innocent Zimbabweans in its ruthless determination to establish and retain absolute power.

Still, in the last 37 years the nation has had countless opportunities to either stop the Zanu PF political juggernaut before it even got started or to derail. Why we have failed in doing either and have been stuck with the corrupt and tyrannical regime for all these years can be attributed to many things; the nation’s inability to think logically being one of these reasons. Here is one such example, Darlington Nyambiya.

“Zimbabwe opposition parties’ chances of a victory in 2018 national elections appear dim against a well-resourced Zanu PF machine, but last year’s surprise victory by Ghana and Gambia’s opposition gives hope that with a well thought-out Election Campaign Strategy, the apple cart can still be turned,” wrote Nyambiya.

Nyambiya is “the President of the Local Solution Council (LSC). The LSC is Zimbabwe’s leading Think Tank with members from diverse Zimbabwean communities in politics, business, religion and sports. He is also a Pro-Democracy Activist, Political Strategist, Human Rights Defender, Social Media Commentator, Writer, Preacher and Business Executive”. Well with such an impressive background – second only to that of President Mugabe with his seven University degrees, etc. – the nation agog with expectation of this masterly strategy to finally defeat Zanu PF!

The mother of all strategies called for the opposition to form “a United Front”. Our political strategist did not comment on whether the recent MDC Alliance was good enough to constitute his united front. The united front was then asked to accomplish four different tasks.

“As in most cases, the incumbent president will always have an advantage, and in the case of Zimbabwe, the Zimbabwe Election Commission (ZEC) has also been accused of being partial to Zanu PF so a United Opposition will need to employ political, legal and counter-rigging manoeuvres to keep the election management body in check,” came the advice.

This is like reading the stupid arguments by some of the stupid characters in Alice in Wonderland. Of course, it is nonsense to tell the opposition employ political blah, blah “manoeuvres” without saying what these manoeuvres are.

The political manoeuvres that are on the table and have been since the GNU are to implement the democratic reforms designed to severe the undemocratic control Zanu PF has over ZEC, the Police and all the other State Institutions. Our self-proclaimed political strategist acknowledges that Ghana’s Election Commission is independent.

“The Ghana Electoral Commission has a relatively strong legal foundation and has developed a reputation for independence,” he acknowledged.

 Nyambiya’s other strategic advices follow the same vicious circle of striving to ensure free and fair elections without saying how that is to be achieved or assume the conditions for free and fair elections already exist. In short Nyambiya’s “four pillars of an opposition victory in 2018” are nothing more than regurgitated excuses for contesting next year’s without implemented the democratic reforms first.

During the GNU, Tsvangirai and his MDC friends had the golden opportunity to implement the democratic reforms designed to stop Zanu PF. They thought they could defeat Zanu PF without implementing the reforms and thus wasted the opportunity. Nyambiya’s ill-thought out strategies are just revised variations of MDC ill-fated plans to defeat the dictatorship without dismantling it.

Zimbabwe is facing very serious economic and political challenges and we cannot afford another rigged election next year. We must face the political reality that if we are ever going to get out of the hell-hole we find ourselves in we will have to implement the democratic reforms to ensure free, fair and credible election and stop wasting time on stupid gimmicks!