Monday 11 September 2017

No good government will emerge out of rigged elections - this is no chicken and egg situation.

“What came first, the chicken or the egg?” A favourite school ground brain teaser. Now I am older and wiser (no need to raise those doubting-Thomas eyebrows), and know the answer; I kick myself for not having known the answer sooner to impress my school mates.

If you believe in Charles Dawn’s theory of evolution, there are mountains of fossil evidence to prove Dawn was right, then the answer is obvious. It was the egg that came before the chicken. And it was a lizard that laid the egg.

The process of transforming a lizard into a bird took millions of years and hundreds of thousands of generations. When should we call the lizard, a bird is academic but whatever the cut-off point is one thing is beyond dispute, it was a lizard that laid the egg that became a bird.

To those who prefer the Bible’s story of how God created the earth and everything in it, then it is the chicken that came before the egg. Of course, the Lord could have created the egg first but I, for one, doubt that. The good Lord did not create a helpless baby Adam for the same reason He would not create an egg; He was far too busy to sit on the egg to incubate just as He did not want the months of sleepless nights to feed the baby and change the diaper.

“Babies are bundles of joy!” Yeah right! Hard and very expensive work, is not exactly my idea of joy! We are mortal creatures and, by having babies, we are trying to buy immortality and the hard work and expense of bring up the next generation is the price for our vanity. But I am digressing, back to brain teasers and puzzles.

“Should the people of Zimbabwe participate in next years harmonised elections or should we boycott the flawed election and stand firm in our demands for democratic reforms to guarantee free, fair and credible elections?” This is the conundrum that should occupy all Zimbabweans today wherever they are.

There is no question that Zanu PF has failed to hold free, fair and credible elections. But it is futile to engage Mugabe and his apologists on this point because they will counter with countless examples of voting irregularities in other SADC countries and even UK, USA and other established democracies of the world. So, the key question here is not so much that Zanu PF has failed to hold free and fair elections but rather whether the voting irregularities have become so serious it is madness to continue to contest such elections.

There are four basic requirements to free, fair and credible elections:

a)     all those eligible to vote must be afforded every opportunity to register and to vote freely

b)     all those eligible and wishing to contest, must give every opportunity to do and afforded the same opportunities meet and interact with electorate freely.

c)     it is the task of public officials to ensure the electoral process is conducted is free, fair and transparent manner to ensure the result is a true reflection of the democratic wishes of the electorate and is beyond contestation.

d)     Any reported irregularities must be thoroughly investigated and appropriate measures taken correct the present situation and to ensure the same or similar irregularities are avoided in future.

It is no secret that Mugabe and his Zanu PF cronies wanted independent Zimbabwe to be a one-party (Zanu PF) state. It is the 1979 Lancaster House constitution that imposed the multi-party democracy complete with the demand for regular free, fair and credible elections. So from the day Mugabe got into power following the 1980 elections, he has set out to systematically undermine the country’s democratic institution to deny the ordinary people their freedoms and rights including the right to free and fair elections to create and retain his de facto one-party dictatorship that has ruled the country since 1980.

In the beginning Zanu PF’s vote rigging was subtle but as the party’s popularity started to fall with the worsening economic situation (because of mismanagement and corruption) the vote rigging became more and more widespread, serious, ruthless and significant. The 2008 elections showed Mugabe and Zanu PF would stop at nothing to win the elections for two notable events:

1)     There is no doubt that Mugabe and Zanu PF were defeated hands down in the March 2008 vote but forced ZEC to recount the votes. Tsvangirai’s 73% votes, according to Mugabe’s own inadvertent admission, was reduced to 47% to force the run-off after six weeks of cooking up the figures.

2)     The presidential run off was marred by wanton violence directed at the electorate to punish them for rejecting Mugabe in the earlier vote and to make sure the voted for him in the run-off. “What was accomplished by the bullet cannot be undone by the ballot,” he said to encourage his party thugs. Mugabe overhauled Tsvangirai’s 73% victory in March with a 84% landslide victory of his own in the June vote.

The 2008 elections were an epoch; they proved beyond all doubt that Zanu PF’s vote rigging machinery was unbeatable and contesting future elections, without dismantle the machinery first, was futile. If elections were a game of dice, 2008 elections showed that Mugabe was not just using a loaded dice but one with six on all six sides. Only a fool would bet against him failing to throw a six!

The whole international community, including the AU and SADC known for accepting dodgy election, refused to accept Mugabe’s victory as a true reflection of the democratic will of the people of Zimbabwe.

SADC forced Mugabe to sign a Global Political Agreement agreeing to the implementation of a raft of democratic reforms designed to dismantle the Zanu PF dictatorship and ensure future elections are free, fair and credible. Mugabe and Tsvangirai formed the GNU which was tasked to implement the reforms.

Sadly, Morgan Tsvangirai and his MDC friends, the partners in the GNU expected to implement the reforms, fail to get even one reform implemented in five years of the GNU. MDC leaders turned out to be breathtakingly corrupt and incompetent and Mugabe bribed them with the gravy train lifestyles; limos, generous salaries and allowances, former white-owned farm and a $4 million mansion for Welshman Ncube and Tsvangirai respective, etc. The MDC leaders showed their gratitude to the tyrant by kicking the reforms into the tall grass.

So, with no reforms in place, it was clear to SADC that Mugabe, still wielding his dice with six on all six sides, will blatantly rig the 2013 elections. They wanted the elections postponed and said so.

In 2013 the Maputo Summit, in June 2013, before the elections, the Maputo Summit was all about having the elections postponed – the SADC summit,” explained Dr Ibbo Mandaza, in a interview with Violet Gonda.

“I went there. I was there at the Summit and Mugabe pretended to agree to a postponement of the elections. If you recall, the postponement was based on the need to reform at least electoral laws.

“After that Summit, Morgan Tsvangirai, Tendai Biti, Welshman Ncube, all of them were called to a separate meeting by the Heads of State of SADC in the absence of Mugabe, that same evening. And they were told; I was sitting there outside the room with Mac Maharaj; they were told ‘if you go into elections next month, you are going to lose; the elections are done’.”
Tsvangirai & co. did not listen to SADC leaders’ warning and contested the flawed elections regardless because of greed, as David Coltart, MDC Minister of Education in the GNU, admitted.

“The worst aspect for me about the failure to agree a coalition was that both MDCs couldn’t now do the obvious – withdraw from the elections,” confessed Senator Coltart in his recent book The Struggle Continues 50 years of tyranny in Zimbabwe.

“The electoral process was so flawed, so illegal, that the only logical step was to withdraw, which would compel SADC to hold Zanu PF to account. But such was the distrust between the MDC-T and MDC-N that neither could withdraw for fear that the other would remain in the elections, winning seats and giving the process credibility.”

The three main MDC factions have since come together and joined by four other opposition parties to the form of the MDC Alliance. There is no talk of boycotting next year’s elections; if anything, the coalition has hardened their resolve to contest the elections regardless the certainty of Zanu PF rigging the vote.

Only the other day Tendai Biti was talking of staying in the Alliance “come rain come thunder” and to contest next year’s flawed elections. And yet a few weeks ago he admitted that with no reforms the “opposition will never dislodge Zanu PF from office”. He is contesting for the sake of the few gravy train seats Zanu PF gives away to entice the opposition to continue contesting the flawed elections.

The coalition will not stop Zanu PF’s blatant vote rigging to ensure a base vote to give it the 2/3 majority and the presidency. The opposition coalition is designed to share out the winnable 1/3 or so opposition seats so they do not split the opposition vote and thus allow Zanu PF to win even more seat with its base votes in these areas.

The opposition politicians will never admit that they have sold-out on free, fair and credible elections – MDC leaders know they wasted their best chance of getting the reforms implemented during the GNU – and they are contesting the flawed elections for the few bribes Zanu PF is giving away. If the opposition was to win next year’s elections it would be because Zanu PF has imploded to the point the party cannot rig the election.

A default opposition victory would not be a blessing for the nation because Tsvangirai and company will never implement the reforms to ensure future free and fair elections. The people of Zambia thought the late Fredrick Chiluba would implement the reform when he took over from Kenneth Kaunda. Chiluba adopted the same oppressive dictatorial powers of Kaunda to consolidate his own hold on power. Successive regimes have all done the same.

The failure to implement the democratic reforms at the end of Kaunda’s rule before Chiluba is the root cause of Zambia’s weak democratic institutions and failure to produce competent regimes. Zimbabwe will too be stuck with mediocre regimes if reforms are not implemented before the next government assume power.

If we are serious about restoring our freedoms and basic human rights including the right to free and fair elections, Mugabe has robbed from us over the years, we must demand the implementation of the democratic reforms agreed in the 2008 GPA. It is madness taking any part in an election we know will be rigged.

SADC leaders will reject next year’s election result as sham just as they rejected Zanu PF’s 2008 election victory but they will only do so if we, the people of Zimbabwe, accept their advice and refuse to take part in the flawed and illegal elections. ZEC will never produce a verifiable voters’ roll for next year’s elections, for example; proof the vote rigging has already started.

No competent government will ever emerge out of rigged elections; that is not a chicken and egg situation; after 37 years of rigged elections, we should know better and stop contesting flawed elections!

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