Wednesday 10 July 2019

Civil servants get 40% pay rise (30% cut given 100% inflation) thin end of inflation wedge P Guramatunhu

“CIVIL servants yesterday started receiving a cushioning allowance while the National Joint Negotiating Council (NJNC) convened a meeting to discuss an increment and other conditions of service for Government employees,” reported the Chronicle.

“Members of the Zimbabwe Defence Forces received the adjusted salary with other members of the civil service expected to get their money on their scheduled pay dates. Those who spoke to our Harare Bureau yesterday said they received an adjustment which ranged from around 40 percent of their usual salaries.”

One does not need a degree in economics to know that 40% pay increase when inflation is a staggering 100% is a 30% pay cut!

One does not need a degree in anything to know that the 40% pay rise for the civil servants will only fuel the 100% inflation rate because government will never increase its collected revenue to march. Government will print money to finance its soaring expenditure and in turn fuel inflation. This is just the thin end of the wedge and so we can be certain inflation will increase above the present 100%.

Whatever wage increase the civil servants agree with the government this time it is supposed to last the next six months regardless of what happens to the inflation rate. The Minister of Finance, Professor Mthuli Ncube, has already said the prices of fuel and electricity tariff will go up. No prices for guessing that they will go up by more than the 40%, they will not be fixed for the next six months, prices of other basics such as food, medicine, etc. will also go up, etc.

Now it is clear why government was a rush to end the use of the US$, SA Rand and all the other foreign currencies as legal tender. The regime knew the traders and workers alike would demand to be paid in the foreign currency and not the local currency that is losing its value. The effect of imposing a trading currency that people have no confidence in will be a drop in economic activity.

We are back to the hyperinflation days of 2008 days of empty shop shelves and shortages of everything except money. At its peak inflation was 500 billion% and Z$ 35 quadrillion (35 followed by 24 zeros) was worth US$1.00. Things like one’s salary, savings and pension which was not review often enough to catch up with inflation were not worth collecting! People lost their lifetime savings, many companies closed and never re-opened and the national economy collapsed forcing millions into abject poverty. It is heart-breaking that the 2008 nightmare years are back again!

Minister Ncube has also announced that he will be buying cars for ministers, MPs and the rest of ruling elite. “The lawmakers have been patient for nine months and now it was time to give them what is due to them,” the Minister argued.

And we, the ordinary Zimbabweans, who have waited patiently; first during colonial rule and now 39 years under this Zanu PF dictatorship; for our freedom and human rights including the right to a meaningful say in the governance of the country and even the right to life itself: what do we get? Yet another rigged election, worsening economic hardships and brutal repression if we dare complain about the rigged elections or soaring cost of living.

Millions of ordinary Zimbabweans today live in abject poverty, living on US$30 per month or less, and many are dying of poverty induced hunger and illnesses. Even the most basic services such as education, health care, supply of electricity and clean running water have all but collapsed. The worsening economic situation and the soaring inflation will make the poor’s lives hell-on-earth. In contrast the country’s few filthy rich have it all and their extravagant lifestyles know no limit.

The root cause of Zimbabwe’s economic meltdown and grinding mass poverty is the political power disparity between the ruling elite and the ordinary people. Mugabe and his Zanu PF cronies have enjoyed absolute power, they have denied the ordinary people their freedoms and basic human rights including the right to a meaningful say in the governance of the country and a fair share of it wealth and resources and even the right to life.

The people have remained powerless and voiceless. Although the people have been aware of the criminal waste of the nation’s human and material resources through mismanagement and corruption, they have failed to stop the waste because Zanu PF rigged the elections to remain in power regardless of the democratic wishes of the people.

Unemployment has soared to nauseating heights of 90%; ¾ of our people now live on US$30 per month or less, way below the poverty datum level of US$650; etc. This economic situation is socially, politically and morally unsustainable. We need to restore the people’s freedoms and human rights as the necessary first step to meaningful political change and economic recovery. It will be criminal to allow this situation to continue; the good of the many, the very survival of the nation cannot be sacrifice to gratify the insatiable greed of the few.

5 comments:

Zimbabwe Light said...

Zanu PF rigged last year's elections and MDC has finally admit this and if demanding cabinet posts in the illegitimate Zanu PF regime as its price for sanitising and legitimising the regime.

Zimbabwe is a pariah state ruled by corrupt and vote rigging thugs, the addition of two or three MDC leaders to the Mnangagwa cabinet will not change the pariah state reality. Biti knows that an enfeebled MDC will never get Zanu PF to implement any democratic reforms when the strong MDC in the 2008 GNU failed to get even one reform implemented. If Zanu PF is allowed to remain in power till 2023 the party will rig that year's elections too - that will be unforgivable!

Nomusa Garikai said...

Zimbabwe's economic mess is a man-made problem, a product of 39 years of gross mismanagement and rampant corruption. Some people would argue that mismanagement and corruption is a human frailty found in every society and not only Zimbabwe. They are right but what we are talking about here is gross mismanagement and rampant corruption.

The all important question is why have we allowed mismanagement and corruption to grow and spread all these last 39 years to the point of choking the life out of the economy and the nation?

Zimbabwe is not like any other country where those in power are accountable to the people , Zanu PF thugs are NOT accountable to the people and hence the reason the people have failed to remove the thugs from office even when it was clear the regime was corrupt and incompetent.

Millions of Zimbabweans have fought and hundreds of thousands have lost their lives so we can have freedom, justice and liberty. What has happened is we allowed Zanu PF to usurp our freedoms and rights . Shame on us all!

Nomusa Garikai said...

@ Eddie Cross
“I do not know what we have to say or do to get those in authority here to get them to understand that if they do nothing, Zimbabwe is headed for a political storm which could change everything or even sink the ship. I am regarded as a perpetual optimist, I am not really as I think quite rationally, but I always try to put forward a solution or way forward that I think is in the national interest,” you say.

“What am I talking about? Right now we have fuel queue's like I have never seen before, we have electricity outages for 18 hours a day. Last week I learned of massive corruption at the GMB which has revealed that the maize stocks are simply not there and furthermore, what is there is unfit even for livestock consumption. A real panic is on to get maize here and fast. But at the same time, prices for everything are being set at an exchange rate of 8 or 12 to 1 or even more.”
You were not being rational much less acting in the nation’s interest when you and your fellow MDC leaders failed to implement even one reform during the 2008 to 2013 GNU! For the last 18 months you have praised Mnangagwa and Mthuli Ncube and would not see the two for the corrupt, incompetent and voter rigging thug and the big-headed Professor they are respectively. Even now with the benefit of hindsight you still fail to see the serious mess your blundering incompetence has landed us into. You are simpleton with a large ego. Zimbabwe would be better off if you would just shut up!

Nomusa Garikai said...

Sifiso Sibanda

Mnangagwa is just a incompetent, corrupt and murderous thug who is in power only because he rigged the elections. Eddie Cross has praised Mnangagwa this far only because Cross is just a simpleton with a large ego but no brain! The country should have avoided the storm Eddie is talking about if the MDC idiots had implemented the reforms designed to stop Zanu PF rigging elections.

Patrick said...

The people of Zimbabwe are helpless to stop the rot in the country but only because the choose to be helpless. Many people have risked life and limb and over 30 000 have lost their lives since 1980 alone, so every Zimbabwean can live in freedom, peace and justice. Yes Zanu PF has usurped the people's freedoms and rights but how many of them have lifted a finger to stop the regime! If people cannot be bothered to defend their freedoms and rights then surely they do not deserve the same!